Future Trends: Analysis of the Impact of China’s Export Control Policy on Sensitive Goods

I. Introduction
In recent years, with the changes in the international situation and the intensification of technological competition, China has continuously improved its export control system, especially the increasingly strict control of sensitive goods (such as high-tech products, key raw materials, dual-use military and civilian goods, etc.). This article will analyze the latest developments in China’s export control policy and its future impact on sensitive goods trade.

2. Current status of China’s export control policy
   Legal framework improvement: The implementation of the Export Control Law in 2020 has established a comprehensive and systematic control system
   List management strengthening: Continuously updating the “Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited and Restricted for Export in China” and the “Catalogue of Dual-Use Items and Technologies Import and Export License Management”
   Control scope expanded: from traditional military items to emerging technology fields (such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, biotechnology, etc.)
   Enhanced law enforcement: Establish a cross-departmental coordination mechanism and increase penalties for violations
3. Specific impact on sensitive goods
4. High-tech product field
   Export restrictions on chip manufacturing equipment and materials

Strengthening control over the transfer of advanced computing technology

Stricter export review of AI-related algorithms and hardware

2. Key raw materials field
   Normalization of export control of rare earths and their processing technologies

Export quota management of key mineral resources

Export license approval process for high-purity materials extended

3. Dual-use items
   Export restrictions on drones and related technologies

Strengthening export review of satellite technology and services

Upgrading export control of high-performance composite materials

IV. Future development trends
The scope of control continues to expand: it is expected to cover more emerging technology fields, such as 6G, brain-computer interface and other cutting-edge technologies

Stricter technical standards: export technology evaluation will shift from “performance parameters” to “end use” review

International cooperation and game coexist: while complying with international obligations, safeguard national science and technology security interests

Digital management upgrade: blockchain and other technologies will be used for full-process traceability of export control

Corporate compliance costs rise: sensitive goods export companies A more complete internal compliance system needs to be established

V. Countermeasures
For enterprises:

Establish a professional export control compliance team

Regularly update product technology classification assessment

Strengthen communication and reporting with competent authorities

For the industry:

Promote the construction of industry self-discipline mechanism

Establish a shared compliance database

Organize regular training to enhance compliance awareness

For the government:

Improve the dynamic adjustment mechanism of the control list

Provide clearer compliance guidance

Strengthen participation in international rule-making

VI. Conclusion
The impact of China’s export control policy on sensitive goods will continue to deepen, showing a trend of “expanding scope, refining standards, and stricter law enforcement”. On the one hand, this will help maintain national security and scientific and technological interests, and on the other hand, it will also reshape the global high-tech supply chain pattern. Relevant companies need to plan ahead, balance commercial interests and compliance requirements, and find new development opportunities in the changes.