New restrictions on Chinese drone exports after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine

I. Direct restrictions under the framework of international sanctions
Export controls by the United States and its allies
In July 2023, the U.S. Department of Commerce included 13 Chinese drone companies in the Entity List (including DJI, Autel, etc.)
Prohibit the export of any drones and related parts containing more than 25% of U.S. technology to Russia and Belarus
Canada, the United Kingdom, Australia and other allies simultaneously implemented similar restrictions
Amendment to EU Regulation No. 833/2014
Prohibit the export of all dual-use drones to Russia (regardless of origin)
Special restrictions on the export of drones with the following characteristics:
Maximum flight time ≥30 minutes
Operation distance ≥5 kilometers
Can carry ≥5 kg of payload
II. Transit trade restrictions in third countries
Strengthen compliance review in transit countries
Traditional transit hubs such as Turkey, Kazakhstan and the United Arab Emirates strengthen customs inspections
Require the provision of an End-User Declaration (End-User Declaration) Certificate)

Some Central Asian countries have suspended drone transit permits

Payment channel restrictions

SWIFT system sanctions on Russian banks lead to payment difficulties

Third-party payment platforms (such as PayPal) freeze drone trading accounts involving Russia

III. Technology blockade and supply chain constraints

Embargo on key components

The United States bans the sale of high-precision IMUs (inertial measurement units) and military-grade photoelectric sensors to China

The Netherlands restricts the export of ASML lithography machines, affecting independent chip research and development

Termination of software services

International mainstream flight control software (such as ArduPilot) stops providing services to Russian IPs

Cloud data processing platforms (such as DJI Fly) restrict geo-fence updates in conflict areas

IV. New barriers to market access
New regulations for the European market

EU effective in December 2023 Regulation 2023/2405:

Requires all incoming drones to be equipped with a remote ID system

Mandatory installation of geofencing

UAVs of level C2 and above require EU type certification

US “Blue Drone” program

List of “trusted suppliers” approved by the Department of Defense (excluding Chinese companies)

Government agency procurement must pass NDAA compliance review

V. Logistics and insurance barriers
International transportation restrictions

IATA strengthens lithium battery air transportation supervision (UN38.3 test report requirements)

Major carriers such as Maersk and DHL suspend Russian drone cargo

Insurance coverage Cover excluded

London insurance market lists drones as “high-risk goods”

War insurance premiums increased by 300%-500%

VI. Chinese companies’ response strategies
Compliance system construction

Establish a complete ECCN (Export Control Classification Number) identification process

Develop independent and controllable supply chain alternatives (such as Huawei HiSilicon chip alternatives)

Market diversification layout

Expand emerging markets such as the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, UAE), Latin America (Brazil, Mexico)

Develop non-sensitive application areas such as agricultural drones and inspection drones

Technical adaptability adjustment

Develop an offline version of the flight control system

Introduce EDR-compliant 155 standard regional customized models

VII. Forecast of future regulatory trends
The upcoming global drone trade agreement (expected in 2024Q3)

It is possible to establish an international drone export registration system

Implement a mandatory end-use monitoring system

China’s local policy response

The Ministry of Commerce’s revision of the “UAV Export Control Measures” (under solicitation of opinions)

It is possible to establish a “white list” enterprise system in exchange for partial market access

Special note: According to the Announcement No. 12 of the Ministry of Commerce of China in 2023, the export of drones with a maximum take-off weight of ≥1.5kg to conflict areas requires an application for a dual-use export license (processing period 15-20 working days). It is recommended that export companies regularly check the “Catalogue of Dual-Use Items and Technology Import and Export License Management” for updates.

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